The U.S. Economy, Job Creation and the Unemployment Rate for June 2025.

 The U.S. Labor Department announced that the economy added 146,000 jobs in June and the unemployment rate came in at 4.1%, it was 4.2% in May.  It was the 53rd straight month of positive job growth.  A few days earlier, the Commerce Department announced the June inflation rate came in at 2.3%. up from 2.1% in May and that incomes were down 0.4%.  We can now compare the first 6 months of Trump's administration to the first 6 months of the Biden administration on job creation and unemployment. 

In Trump's first 6 months in office, 889,000 jobs have been created and in his 54 months as President (48 months in first term, 6 months in second term) a total of 1,811,000 jobs have been lost. (2,700,000) jobs lost his first term, 899,000 jobs gained in second term. The unemployment rate when Biden left office was 4% and the unemployment rate in June was 4.1%, so, unemployment was up 0.1% in Trump's first 6 months in office.

In Biden's first 6 months in office 2,974,000 jobs were created and no jobs were lost on Biden's watch.  The unemployment rate was 6.3% when Trump left office and at the end of Biden's first 6 months it was 5.9% so unemployment was down 0.4%.  The GDP numbers for the second quarter of 2025 will not be released for several weeks before we know what the numbers show.  

We do know that consumer spending in May was down 0.1% from April and there are projections that it will stay flat because of Trump's tariff wars that are still in progress.  The weak job creation numbers that the republican party are well known for are being played out early in Trump's second term.  This type of information the media never talks about because they are the bearers of Trump and the GOP's misinformation campaign.  

So stay tuned to PolitiDose for your daily dose of political commentary.

This commentary written by Joe  Lorio 

Countdown To President Trump and the GOP's Economic Recession That Will Surely Take Place.

 The record of an economic recession that has taken place on every Republican watch in the last 100 years (that began with Teddy Roosevelt admin.) will play out once again during the current administration of Donald Trump.  And the record is no co-incident over that long period of time.  There is a reasoning laid out in past PolitiDose commentary over the years.  PolitiDose called the shot before Trump began his first term in office and his present term in office in commentary December 2016 and December 2024.  

The media in general has overlooked the facts after all those years in favor of the GOP lies about everything concerning the economy.  For the media, politics has turned into show business reporting.  Ever since Reagan, the media promoted the lies of the GOP about the economy, federal spending, job creation, the national debt and deficit spending.  The democratic party has a better record on the economy and everything that has to do with the economy.  But one would never know that from the media's reporting.

In a online commentary in 2018 by Sam Stoval chief investment strategist for the research firm CFRA, called the GOP recession problem, "a 100 year old curse on GOP Presidents."  But surely it is not a curse, it is a lack of governing with plans and policy.  The GOP govern with an extreme right wing ideology that is anti-democratic in nature, anti-American values and pro wealthy and business orientated.  The result is the real issues are never addressed.  

If the GOP controlled congress passes Trump's big terrible bill now before them, make no mistake, the coming recession will last much longer and be worse.  And when it ends, as it surely will, the future of Trump's second term will be like the failed past of the GOP.  And you will have read it here first in PolitiDose, your daily dose of political commentary.

This commentary written by Joe Lorio

Israel's Netanyahu Lit The Match For A Future Nuclear War With The Attack On Iran As President Trump Follows.

 The policy of the existing nuclear powers that we can have our nuclear weapons but no one else can have theirs is leading to a future nuclear war that will reach U.S. soil.  Smaller nuclear powers will be increasing their production of nuclear weapons so the big boys cannot threaten them while future leaders of non nuclear states will start nuclear weapons program so the big boys cannot bully them and the race will be on for the spread of nuclear weapons.  And when the nuclear holocaust is unleashed no one will be safe.

Mankind is at a point of no return because of nuclear weapons and their destructive power.  It started long ago when Israel became a nuclear power in the middle east and no one wanted to talk about the imbalance in the middle east.  Then we lived the war in Iraq over WMD that did not exist.  Now we have the Iran attack over nuclear weapons that never existed.  Netanyahu for the past 20 years has said Iran was only a few months away from an atomic weapon and was a nuclear threat.  The media and the negative voices played along like both Iraq and Iran's military was a military threat to the U.S.  Both attacks proved them wrong as Iran and Iraq had no air defense or ground game to give the U.S. military any trouble.  And now just last week some in the media say they wonder why Iran's defense was so weak.  Anyone who follows the news knew Iran and Iraq's strengths lie in their terror attacks and not in any real military confrontation.  

Two major issues that can stabilize the middle east are a nuclear free middle east including Israel and a diplomatic settlement that requires courage from middle east leaders to stand up and forge a fair settlement.  The U.S. Europe, Russia and China could be a great help in lending a hand to co-operation on the issues at hand.  We know an agreement can be reached by serious people because the agreement between Israel and Egypt that President Carter negotiated is still in affect after 40 plus years and is still working.  The so called tough guys on both sides have failed in their approach to bring positive changes to the middle east so it is past time to rewrite the script.  

Make no mistake, a future nuclear war will take place, including on U.S. soil if the path we are now on concerning nuclear weapons do not change.  This is not science fiction, nuclear weapons go beyond the usual weapons of war because of their ability to destroy the human race on earth.  And that really says it all.  

This commentary written by Joe Lorio

 

President Kennedy's "Peace Speech" Should Be Required Reading and Kept In Focus.

 President Kennedy gave his famous "Peace Speech" at The American University in Washington D.C. in June 1963.  That was 62 years ago this month and still so relevant today more than ever.  That was the speech that JFK in his remarks said, "our problems are manmade, therefore they can be solved by man."  In the speech JFK laid out why war is not inevitable and diplomacy to solve problems is not a sign of weakness.

The speech is more important today because America has a President who dislikes diplomacy, dislikes the democratic process, the constitution, law and order and wants to be King to rule and judge all.  And just this week committed America to a war in Iran (following Israel's lead) to deny Iran a nuclear weapon that does not exist.  It was the second time Trump failed to use diplomacy with Iran.

Sixty two years ago when JFK gave that speech illustrates how American leadership has failed with the Clowns running government today.  The media in general should read Kennedy's speech over and over and then they might just realize how they have contributed to Trump's failures.  President Kennedy's speech took place five months before his fateful trip to Dallas where he was greeted with posters stating Wanted for Treason with Kennedy's picture.  There were other extreme posters against the President all by those extremist who believed in dividing the country and opposed Kennedy's efforts of diplomacy.  

President Kennedy never backed down from seeking diplomacy backed up by our military's power if necessary.  He was a true leader who understood humanity when he said, "We all inhabit this small planet, we all breathe the same air, we all cherish our children's future and we are all mortal."  Those words tell the story of understanding what the future might bring.  Kennedy was sincere in seeking peace without surrender.  He recognized we do not live in a perfect world when he also said, we do not have to love our neighbor, but we all have much in common that we can agree on and therefor still live in peace.  

The present administration has failed the simple test of articulating a positive policy to move the country forward.  Nothing but chaos, toxic rhetoric, incompetent people in important positions and the use of lies and misinformation as policy.  The extremist has learned nothing and as a result, the future looks like their failed past.  And that really says it all.

This commentary written by Joe Lorio

The Iran Problem Was Manmade By Two Unfit Leaders.

 President Kennedy in a Peace Speech before the American University in June of 1963 said, "our problems are manmade and therefore can be solved by man" which was articulated by how his administration governed.  The problem concerning Iran's nuclear program was made by two men, Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu who rejected an Iran treaty that took place during the Obama administration and was then killed when President Trump during his first term withdrew from the treaty.  The killing of the treaty by Trump lifted all the restrictions placed on Iran in the treaty and his nuclear ambitions.

The problem created by those two men, Trump and Netanyahu, and their only solution to the problem they created after 8 years was war in a military attack against a sitting duck country by two major nuclear powers.  President Kennedy faced a more dangerous problem for America and its people during the Cuban missile crisis in 1962 when Russia installed ICBM missiles and nuclear warheads in Cuba only 90 miles from the east coast.  President Kennedy installed a naval quarantine around Cuba to prevent Russian ships from delivering more armaments to Cuba, had our military prepared to invade if necessary but used diplomacy as the first option.  Diplomacy worked, Russia dismantled the missiles and returned them and the nuclear warheads back to Russia which was verified by the navy quarantine.

President Kennedy's actions during the crisis indicated how a manmade (Khrushchev) problem could be solved my man without war.  Trump and Netanyahu took the position that the manmade problem in Iran they created could only be solved by war.  President Kennedy faced an Elephant problem with the Russia/Cuba missile crisis without going to war.  Trump and Netanyahu faced a Flea problem with Iran and choose the war option.

Cuba has never been a nuclear threat to the U.S. since the missile crisis ended 63 years ago this October.  And that really says it all.

This commentary written by Joe Lorio

Note:  Stay tuned for the upcoming commentary of President Kennedy's Peace speech in 1963 as it has implications for today's leaders.

President Trump, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Iran: A Rerun of President George W. Bush and Iraq.

Ten years ago in 2015 President Obama and our European allies signed a nuclear agreement with Iran to restrict Iran's ability to acquire a nuclear weapon.  The agreement had safeguards and inspections that denied Iran the ability to enrich uranium and plutonium to weapons grade level.  It was a good effective agreement with enforcements.  

Israel's Netanyahu opposed the agreement, was invited to speak to congress by the GOP members and lied when he told them Iran was only months away from obtaining a nuclear weapon.  And now ten years later when Israel launched their attack, Iran has still not reached a level of enrichment of uranium and plutonium to weapons grade according to the latest report from the Atomic Energy Community who has inspected the facilities.  

Donald Trump during his first term withdrew the U.S. from the treaty using the same excuses as Netanyahu and lies and Iran responded by starting to enrich uranium and plutonium to try and reach weapons grade.  Netanyahu and Trump were both wrong and if the treaty were still in effect, the unprovoked attacks would not have been necessary and in fact the treaty would have had plenty of time to even be upgraded.  But the facts remain, Netanyahu and Trump do not believe in diplomacy.  If they did, both of them had 10 years to come up with a better plan if they had one.  But no such plan was ever revealed or given to Iran.

Sixty three years ago this October, President Kennedy faced a situation with the Cuban missile crisis that was 1000 time more dangerous and or threatening than Iran when Russia installed ICBM missiles in Cuba with nuclear warheads only 90 miles from the east coast.  President Kennedy, being a veteran of WWII knew what war was all about and how this situation could get out of hand so he addressed the nation, had our military ready to respond but thought "diplomacy" should be sought first.  While "diplomacy" was being worked on, the President ordered a Naval quarantine of Cuba to stop any Soviet ships carrying any armaments to Cuba.  In the end, "diplomacy" worked, Russia removed all of its missiles and nuclear weapons and our Navy verified that all the missiles and armaments were indeed removed.  

President Kennedy was not on TV every day talking about "there will be hell to pay" or assassinating leaders or lying about the threat.  Kennedy was a President and Commander in Chief who knew his responsibility to keep the country and its people safe and how to be prepared for such a situation.  That was a time of true leadership, which is lacking today.  

Trump and Netanyahu are responsible for their lack of leadership for the past 10 years concerning Iran.  They lead two of the most powerful nuclear nations in the world and resorted to attacking a non nuclear power nation named Iran.  And those who suffer the most are the civilians and children of all sides who have no say so in the matter.  Their failure to seek diplomacy, failed their responsibility even though time was on their side to seek diplomacy.  

President Kennedy passed the leadership test, President Trump and Netanyahu failed the leadership test on all counts as the issue they faced was a flea.

This commentary written by Joe Lorio

 

 

The United States Is Floundering Under A Leaderless President.

 The United States under the leadership of President Joe Biden was SANE on both domestic and foreign  policy and produced a stable federal government with a true and viable direction.  All of that changed in the past 6 months of the Trump administration.  Everything has been unstable, chaotic and floundering.  His mind changes every day on every issue and the lies are more frequent.  The billionaires and millionaire clowns he appointed to important positions are unable to even articulate the purpose of their own committees.

Trump's big, beautiful bill before congress is a big fraud of what America stands for.  Both House and Senate republicans are struggling to see which one can do the most damage.  Trump stumbles on his own words when he tries to explain his own position on just about every issue.  His immigration actions are chaotic, confusion and even illegal according to some of the court judges hearing the cases.  

The people understand that Trump is a Putin patsy and stooge and now recent events tell the story of Trump also being a patsy and stooge for Israel's Netanyahu.  Trump made false statements about what he knew about Israel's unprovoked attack against Iran.  First he said the U.S. had no role in the matter and then said he vetoed Israel's desire to assassinate Iran's leader K Hamenei.   He then said the U.S. may join Israel in the attack and gave Iran's leader an ultimatum to surrender.  The attack on Iran was a reminder of President George W. Bush's attack on Iraq over WMD that did not exist.

After 6 months in office there is no leadership in the White House.  America has regressed on every issue under Trump.  His trade tariffs have yet to be agreed on and approved by congress as need be.  The latest regression is Trump's use of the military to enforce local and state laws, a "military state" against the people that every past President has rejected.

Leaderless Presidents have no character or courage and that is why the U.S. is floundering and will continue to do so.  The United States (America the Beautiful) should never be led by a convicted criminal, sexual abuser, a fraudster and a President who betrayed his country on Jan. 6, 2021 when he attempted to over throw the Presidential election with his riot mob.  

The country and it's people should never have to live under a President who always uses lies and mis-information as a policy for governing.

This commentary written by Joe Lorio.  

  

The U.S. Economy, Job Creation and The Unemployment Rate for May 2025.

 The U.S. Labor Department announced that the U.S. economy added 139,000 jobs in May and the unemployment rate came in at 4.2%, same as April.  It was the 52nd month of positive job growth for the economy.  The department also announced job creation for March and April were 95,000 fewer than first announced.  We can now compare the first 5 months of the Biden and Trump administration.

In Trump's first 5 months in office, 743,000 jobs were created, including the department's adjustments.  Unemployment when Trump took office was 4%.  It was 4.2% in May, an increase of 0.2%.  In Biden's first five months in office 2,124,000 jobs were created.  The unemployment rate when he took office was 6.3% and in May it was 5.8%, down 0.5%.  The numbers favor Biden even though he had to deal with the mess Trump left him concerning COVID and Trump's economic recession.  Trump came to office in January 2025 and inherited a resilient economy and low unemployment.

The Labor Department noted in it's report the  U.S. economy and job market have proved to be resilient in recent years considering inflation and the fact that the Federal Reserve raised interest rates 11 times in 2022 and2023 which was predicted to cause an economic recession that never took place. Those words by the department are a way of describing just how good the U.S. economy was under President Biden and how broad based the economy really was.  And consumer spending stayed strong during Biden's term in office.  And the readers of PolitiDose commentary knew how well the economy would perform under President Biden.

Now, under the Trump administration, the economy is in a chaotic period of the Trump tariff fiasco, his legislation passing through the GOP controlled congress and their extreme position on every issue.  To top it off, there is Trump's appointment of unfit clowns to important positions to run government will little by little doom the economy.  It was all predicted in PolitiDose commentary in  December 2024 and January 2025.  

President Trump has now been President for 53 months and as of May 2025 is still 2 million jobs in negative territory.  The people can expect the rest of Trump's second term to be chaotic and toxic.  Thanks to the media's incapability in dealing with Trump, the White House will continue to be out of control under the management of a sick leader.  And when another economic recession takes place on Trump's watch, you will have read it first here in PolitiDose, your daily dose of political Commentary.

This commentary written by Joe Lorio  

The U.S. Judicial System Is Standing Strong Against Trump's Autocratic Rule Concerning Immigration and Trade Tariffs

 President Trump's attempt to ignore his responsibility to follow the constitution with his assault on immigration and trade tariffs are being rejected by U. S. Judges for Trump's failure to abide by constitutional requirements.  In multiple suits against Trump's orders, some judges presiding over the cases used strong language to describe how flagrant Trump's actions violated the constitution.

Trump's actions to the rejections follow the same pattern of lashing out at the judges with personal attacks.  He did so on Memorial Day over his social media when he personally attacked them and others using foul language.  (Obviously showing a mental problem).  Trump's own party of clowns and cowards won't stop him and continue to kiss his ring.  The democratic party does not have the votes to stop him but have been part of several suits against him and oppose his policies.

So, it is left to the courts to bring Trump under control and enforce the constitution and the democratic process to ensure that the President is held accountable for his violations. At this time and place, the courts are the last stand against Kingship.  The timing works out well to minimize the damage already done by a mentally unfit President who respects no one and has violated his oath of office many times over.

This commentary written by Joe Lorio

The Mental Acuity and Acumen of President Biden Brings Out The Worst In America's Media and The Negative Voices Belatedly.

 President Joe Biden was the first sitting President since Lyndon B. Johnson to announce he would not seek re-election to a second term after announcing he would run for re-election.  The President's decision to not seek re-election was predicted and published in a PolitiDose commentary dated July 15, 2022 (34 months ago) and titled, "Why President Biden Will Not Seek Re-election."  Now we find the media "circus" and the negative voices showing their ignorance over recent reports of President Biden's so called mental decline and others running the federal government for him and are clamoring for retribution, taking a page out of Trump and the GOP's play book.

The "circus" is trying its best to change the subject because they are trying to cover up the chaotic governing by Trump and his mental state of mind that is causing real problems.  The words Trump used yesterday on Memorial Day in his Truth Social address to attack judges was mentally incompetent for a President.  And he uses those mentally incompetent words almost daily to personally attack some one.  When it comes to mental Acuity and Acumen, President Biden has the numbers and record to back up he was better prepared than Trump at governing.

President Biden's Cabinet and other appointees to high positions that carried out his policies and agenda were well qualified for those positions.  The millionaires and billionaires that Trump appointed to those same positions were not only not qualified, they were appointed for one reason and that was to kiss Trump's ring.  President Biden's economy was never chaotic, addressed the mess Trump left him and handled COVID, the loss of 2.7 million jobs and a economic recession.  Trump's governing is chaotic, says his tariffs may cause a recession but that is OK and the people should accept it.  

President Biden was mentally tough in supporting Ukraine when Russia invaded that country.  Supported Ukraine with words and military aid, united our NATO allies to rally around Ukraine and established a solid front.  Biden's mental acuity and acumen showed Presidential leadership concerning the war.  The Trump mental attitude was he would end the war on day one, did no such thing, acted mentally unbalanced when he blew up his meeting with Ukraine's leader, withdrew from the peace talks and then said he was through with the process and demonstrated how Putin fooled him every step of the way.

So now, the media "circus" has decided to do a hatchet job on President Biden's mental health after the fact while accepting Trump's mental behavior as being the norm for Presidential behavior.  They, like the GOP have allowed Trump to corrupt their own industry and news cycle of reporting.  They are willing to overlook the accomplishments of President Biden term in office and stay silent on Trump's criminal record.  

This writer predicted in all, what would take place during the Biden Presidency, how the negative voices would be out every day to try and damage the Biden administration and what would take place in a Trump #2 Presidency.  And it has all come true in PolitiDose commentary.  The final truth remains, the Biden Presidency was a time of governing with a SANE attitude and policies.  That form of governing has escaped the Trump era.  

This commentary written by Joe Lorio