Suffolk polling has been tracking the trend of New Hampshire primary voters, and the trend is towards a Clinton win. When tracking the trend of voters from 12/27-12/31, Sen. Clinton was leading by 14%. That lead is way up from previous polls which showed either Obama ahead by a few points or Clinton winning by a much smaller margin (by about 2-3 points).
Well the surge of Hillary seems to be continuing. In a new poll from Suffolk released this morning, tracking voters from 12/31-1/1, Sen. Clinton opened up a 17 point lead over Obama.
Why is this significant, especially if the Iowa results have such a great influence? Simple. The winner of Iowa is expected to get a 15-20% boost in New Hampshire. If Hillary can break that 20% barrier, she could potentially survive a loss to Obama in Iowa, however, I stress the word potentially. Obama's strong support among Independents still makes him very viable in New Hampshire. But nonetheless, this is great news for the Clinton campaign. Many expected her to weaken as the caucuses and primaries neared, but she is indeed strengthening or, at the very least, maintaing a slight lead.
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