Thursday, July 31, 2008
Energy Crisis: People Power For Change
Wednesday, July 30, 2008
What's My HUGE Headline From Today's Events?
Tuesday, July 29, 2008
Veepstakes: My Prediction Time
Sunday, July 27, 2008
Veepstakes: Prediction Time
First let's take a look at the Republican side: Who's most likely to be John McCain's Veep. Here's my predictions:
#3: Tom Ridge. That's right, the former Pennsylvania governor is the third most likely man to be chosen as McCain's Vice-Presidential nominee. Why? For starters, McCain likes Ridge. Ridge is probably who McCain would most like to pick. The only problem, of course, is that Ridge is pro-choice, and McCain has previously said that it is unlikely he would choose a pro-choice running mate. Still, Ridge could shift Pennsylvania to McCain and hence throw a huge curve ball into the Democrats' plan to regain the White House. For that reason alone, Ridge has got to be in serious contention.
#2: Tim Pawlenty. Pawlenty would be a very interesting choice. Why is he #2? Again, McCain likes Pawlenty. Pawlenty was one of the first politicians to endorse McCain during the primaries and McCain has always been good friends with the Minnesota governor. Add to the mix that Pawlenty could put Minnesota and its 10 electoral votes in to play and Pawlenty is the second most likely pol to be named McCain's number two.
#1: Mitt Romney. Indeed if I had to place money on it, I'd say McCain has already decided on Romney. I'm not sure why as Romney doesn't exactly do that much for McCain. He might put Michigan in to play, but thats about it. Also, Romney is conventional wisdom. Everyone in the media expects it to be Romney. If McCain truly wants announcing his VP to give him some much needed media attention, shouldn't he pick someone that would be a little less expected? It's not a wise choice by McCain, but then again, McCain hasn't exactly been making wise choices as of late.
As for as the Veepstakes on the Democratic side go, everything is much less clear. Everyone in the political world has a different opinion. I'm positive that McCain's VP will be from the above list, and 95% sure it's Romney, but I could be completely off with Obama's list. But here goes nothing...
#3: Hillary Clinton. Many people don't think the "dream ticket" has a chance of happening. I'm very skeptical myself. But there is a chance. Obama wants the fundraising prowess of the "Hillraisers" and the only way he's going to get it 100% is to pick Hillary. In addition to the money issue, Hillary also gives Obama great strength in the "rust-belt" states of Pennsylvania, Ohio, Indiana, and even Michigan.
#2: Tim Kaine. Obama wants to win Virginia. If there's one state Obama is intent on flipping this cycle, it's Virginia and what better way to get a head start than by putting its very popular governor on the ticket?
#1: Evan Bayh. One doesn't hear much about Bayh, but I will guarantee Obama is looking at him seriously. With recent polls showing the race in Indiana, a traditionally Republican state, so close, Bayh could help Obama grab this red state come November. Add to that Bayh's executive experience as governor of Indiana as well as his foreign policy experience from being in the Senate and Bayh is as good of a pick as any for the Vice-Presidency.
(In addition to the 3 previous names, I believe that Joe Biden and perhaps even Jack Reed are in contention for the #2 slot. I don't think either would be particularly great or exciting choices, but I do believe they are on the elusive list.)
John McCain
I used to like John McCain. I never liked the majority of his political positions, but I liked John McCain the person. He had dignity. He had respect. He had independence from his party. He, in many ways, had everything George Bush, Dick Cheney, and the Republican leadership in Congress lacked. This campaign, however, has changed John McCain; changed him or brought forth the true John McCain --- I'm not sure which. Whatever the case, my opinion of John McCain has changed, and changed for the worst.
It was not too long ago when John McCain said he would run a respectful campaign. He correctly claimed that "Americans want a respectful debate" and promised to give America just that. He vowed not to question his opponents "character and integrity".
But with the election just months away and McCain bracing for a significant loss, speaking with regard to the electoral college, McCain has changed his tactics. Desperate to destroy the Democratic nominee, McCain and his camp, just this week, rolled out their latest despicable line of attack --- essentially calling Barack Obama out for treason:
"Obama would rather lose a war in order to win a political campaign."
The previous line was used by McCain over and over again. This is turning in to 2004 all over again. Why must one's patriotism be questioned in a political campaign? Why can't Republicans show some decency and admit that just because they disagree with Democrats on policy, their love for this great country and its troops is equal and abundant.
Attack lines like the one used by McCain are disgusting. They are completely uncalled for. How dare John McCain say that any one wants to lose a war? How dare he?
John McCain, sir, you have lost all my respect by going after Sen. Obama in that way, and by extension, all Americans who oppose this war. No amount of recollections of your time as a POW in Vietnam can restore honor and dignity to you name in my eyes. You were a hero to this country. You were honorable. You came into this campaign with that honor and respect. But when you use that honor and respect bestowed upon you by the American public for your courageous service to this country, and you twist it in order to make the case that you and your party and only you and your party and it's positions show love for this country and our troops, you lose that honor and respect.
It Was Reported Here First On POLITIDOSE
Wednesday, July 23, 2008
Innovation: Lost in America
Thursday, July 17, 2008
Wednesday, July 16, 2008
Another Financial Meltdown On The Republican Watch
Monday, July 14, 2008
Road to Victory: Rick Noriega (Texas)
Sunday, July 13, 2008
2001-2008 --- A Return To A Time Of Darkness
Friday, July 11, 2008
2008 Senate Elections: The Ad Wars
In a follow-up to a post I wrote a few nights ago concerning the top 10 Senate races most likely to flip from Republican to Democratic control this November, I want to share with you some of the great ads our Democratic challengers are going up on the air with:
First, as I've said before, the one candidate who I really would like to see make it to the Senate: Kay Hagan. In this ad, Hagan focuses on the energy crisis:
Tom Allen is up on the air in Maine promising to, unlike Incumbent Susan Collins, to fight for the middle class:
Colorado's Mark Udall has an ad, similarly to Hagan in North Carolina, tackling the energy crisis:
Here's another ad from Mark Udall, this one focusing on foreign policy and national security:
This is Kentucky's Bruce Lunsford first ad of the campaign in his bid to oust Mitch McConnel:
Former New Hampshire Governor Jeanne Shaheen tackles Big Oil in this ad:
Here's a second ad from Shaheen talking about putting people first:
In this ad, Al Franken talks about the toll the Iraq War is taking on America domestically:
Mark Begich, in this ad, talks about his biography in Alaska and all he has accomplished for Alaskans as mayor of Anchorage:
Another great biographical ad is this one from New Mexico's Tom Udall:
This ad from Virginia's Mark Warner deals with all Warner did as Governor of Virginia and why his bi-partisan approach is the right one to clean up Washington:
Oregon's Jeff Merkley is up with this ad challenging Gordon Smith:
The Height of Hypocrisy: T. Boone Pickens
Thursday, July 10, 2008
Obama Caves; Clinton Stays Strong
As I've said previously, this FISA Bill did nothing but violate the basic rights of privacy guaranteed to every American in the Constitution. There was and is no reason to grant the telecom companies immunity for breaking the law. What's even more disappointing then the fact that so many Senators voted for it, was the fact that Sen. Barack Obama, the Democratic nominee for President, caved in to Bush's and the Republican's tactics and voted for the bill.
Now I've read Obama supporters on the blogs claim that he had to do this. That if he didn't, Republicans would tear him apart. Guess what Obama-bots? You don't beat the Republicans by giving in to their demands. The "change" that Obama so often talks about will not happen if Democrats allow themselves to be bullied around by Republicans.
What does make me proud, however, is the fact that Sen. Hillary Clinton voted no on this bill. Sure, Republicans will criticize her for it. Sure, Republicans will call her weak on national security. But today, Sen. Clinton actually acted on the words she spoke of during the primary --- standing your ground and taking the fight to the Republicans.
In this hour, the contrast between the Democratic nominee and the runner-up is clear. Our nominee, unfortunately, doesn't believe in standing up for and defending Democratic values. He'd rather appease Republicans and stay as far away from controversy as possible. The runner-up, however, doesn't worry about what Republicans think or say about her. She does what she feels is right.
Even more interesting is the feed-back I'm seeing on the blogs from some people who were highly critical of Sen. Clinton in the primary --- in other words, they bashed her non-stop. Some, like Sean Casey at the Daily Kos, see Obama and Clinton in a new light. Here's what Casey wrote:
"Thank you Hillary - I appreciate you standing up for my right of proivacy and the Constitution. I definitely misjudged you. Two months ago I would have bet anything that you would have voted "Yea" and he would have voted "Nea". Sincerely - Thank You - and those who voted NEA with you.
Change we can believe in? It's a change, but not the one I expected. WOW!"
Now, with all this said, let me be clear: I still unequivocally support Sen. Obama for President. Even though I believe he was totally unjustified in his lack of courage to stand up to Republicans today, he would still be a much, much better President than Senator McCain, who apparently feels free from even showing up to vote --- for anything.
In conclusion, I leave you with the video of Senator Russ Feingold talking with Rachel Maddow tonight on MSNBC concerning the FISA Bill, why he opposed it, and how he feels about Democrats, including Sen. Obama, not standing up to the Republicans:
Wednesday, July 9, 2008
The Roadblock To Job Creation And A Sustained Economy --- Conservatives
Tuesday, July 8, 2008
A Common Sense Approach
Monday, July 7, 2008
Choosing a Vice-President (Democrats)
Election '08: My Senate Rankings
As the mundane and rather boring Presidential election rolls on, I find myself more and more intrigued with the Senate races coming up this fall. Indeed, the Democrats will, at the very least, pick up 4 seats, bringing the number of Democrats in the Senate to 55 (54 if you don't count Lieberman). The fact is, however, that 4 is again, the LEAST number of seats the Democrats will pick up. Indeed, to tell you just how bad Republicans might have it this cycle, John Ensign, chairman of the Republican Senatorial Campaign Committee (RSCC), said he would consider it a "win" for Republicans if they can keep Democrats from reaching the magic number of 60. And while, at the moment, the prospect of Democrats picking up 9-10 Senate seats from Republicans seems unlikely, it is not out of the question. Here is my breakdown of the 10 seats, in competitive order, that Democrats have the best shot at winning:
1) Virginia. This once red state is going blue in 2008. Former Popular Democratic Governor Mark Warner is ahead of Republican Jim Gilmore by 25-30 points.
2) New Mexico. Tom Udall, in the latest batch of polling released, is ahead of Republican Steve Pearce by a whopping 28 points.
3) New Hampshire. Current Republican Senator John Sununu won't get re-elected. I'd put money on that one. Currently, former Governor Jeanne Shaheen holds a 14 point lead, up from 10 points last month, 7 the month before, and 4 the month before that. As can be seen, Shaheen's momentum is still growing.
4) Colorado. This is another once red state that is going blue. Mark Udall's lead over Republican Bob Schaffer has grown from a tie, to 3 points, to 7 points, and now to 10 points. Again, just like in New Hampshire, momentum is on the Democratic side.
5) Alaska. The longest serving Republican in the Senate, Ted Stevens, is locked in a tight contest with former Anchorage mayor, Mark Begich. The two most recent polls show mixed results. One has Begich up by 2 points, the other has Stevens up by 2. But again, the momentum is on Begich's side.
6) Mississippi. Just like in Alaska, one poll puts incumbent Republican Roger Wicker ahead by 1% while another poll puts former Democratic Governor Ronnie Musgrove ahead by 1.
7) Kentucky. Yup, thats right, Mitch McConnel is in trouble. Survey USA puts McConnel up over Bruce Lunsford by only 4%, while a month old Rasmussen poll puts Lunsford up by 5. No doubt, this is going to be a close one.
8) Maine. Moderate Republican Susan Collins might meet the same fate that the politically similar Lincoln Chaffee did last cycle. She's popular within her state, but the "R" that is attached to her name will be her downfall. Right now, Collins does have a significant 7 point lead, but it's important to note that that number is down from about 16 just over two months ago. The momentum is definitely with Democratic Congressman Tom Allen.
9) Oregon. Another moderate Republican in Gordon Smith is in trouble in a heated battle against Jeff Merkley. While Smith is ahead in the race, by about 9%, Merkley has just recently captured the Democratic nomination and has already cut Smith's lead in half from earlier this year.
10) Tie:
a. Minnesota: while earlier this year, Republican Norm Coleman's seat did appear more competitive, I am convinced that Democrat Al Franken can still win this thing. Depending on which poll you look at, Coleman is ahead by only 3 (Rasmussen) or by 10 (Quinnipiac). Either way, it's a long way until election day.
b. North Carolina: Liddy Dole faces a tough challenge in Democrat Kay Hagan (who happens to be my favorite Senate candidate this cycle). Although Dole appears to have a double digit lead, Hagan proved to be very resourceful in a fairly competitive Democratic primary. Dole has spend huge amounts of cash on TV ads trying to quell the momentum Hagan had after her primary win bump, which had her within 4 points of Dole. And although that ad blitz has worked for the meanwhile, Hagan has yet to put up her own general election ads. Once she has, I am convinced this will once again become a single digit race and with Dole's unimpressive approval numbers, it's not hard to see that this North Carolina seat could once again go blue.
A few things of note:
-Increased African American turnout due to Obama's candidacy in Mississippi and North Carolina could propel Musgrove and Hagan to the Senate.
-With Barack Obama planning to campaign in Alaska and John McCain not, the feeling is that Democrats could get a huge boost in Alaska just from the fact that a Presidential candidate decided to actually show up.
-The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) has a huge cash advantage over the RSCC. The DSCC is having to play defense in only one state, Louisiana. The RSCC is having to play defense in just about every state that it currently holds a seat. It's not hard to see that Democratic Senate candidates are going to be able to easily compete with Republicans even if the candidates themselves aren't able to compete with their Republican opponent.