Stan Greenberg, a leading Democratic pollster, has looked at four months of polling data and in the process has found out where some key voting blocks stand as the 2008 Presidential and Congressional elections draw near. These results are profound and will no doubt have a major impact on the race.
-Voters with a college education who earn more than $75,000 a year, support the democrats by an 11 point margin. This voting block, often dubbed the "opinion elite" has traditionally gone Republican. Maybe those college degrees are paying off!
-Independent voters have defected from leaning Republican and now support the democrats by 19 points. This could be the most significant finding of the poll. Independent voters always have been major players in Presidential Elections. Independents have voted mostly republican for the last several election cycles, but with their support for the democrats, the GOP could be in trouble in key battle ground states.
-Young voters are breaking to the Democrats with landslide margins. This not only is good for the Democratic Party for this election, but for years to come. If voters who have just turned 18 register as Democrats and stay that way, this could be a great asset for the party for the next 50 years. The only problem is actually getting young voters out on election day.
-Married Women, who largely went to Republicans in the past, are now breaking evenly with the Democrats and continue to favor democrats more and more. If this trend continues and dems gain full control of this group, expect the Republicans to risk some traditionally republican states in "Middle America".
-Unmarried women, who traditionally vote democratic, are now in even more support of the democrats. The democrats' strong position on health care, raising the minimum wage, and education strongly appeal to this block of voters.
Very good news for the democrats to say the very least. If these findings hold true on election day, the democrats will win by a fairly wide margin.
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