I have mentioned in past commentaries that regardless of how the war in Iraq ends, or when it ends, Iran will be the main benefactor and Iraq and Iran will be allied together.
Now, despite the spin about the success of the surge, the State Department's top official on Iraq says Iran's sharp decrease of arms and munitions to Iraq has decreased the attacks sharply. We know that the Shiite make up the majority in Iraq and Iran and that al-Sadr told his militia several months ago to stand down for 6 months. We also know that the present administration in Iraq and Iran meet often and are in close contact with each other. The game is on for them because they know that with the lack of violence, the U.S. will eventually have to leave.
Another tell tale of what is happening in Iraq is in Basra, where British troops have turned over security to Iraq. Our military commanders are worried because Iran is entrenched in Basra and wields influence there to the point that is alarming.
And to top it off, Iraqi defense minister al-Obaidi declared his intent to dismantle the Sunni awakening councils which are financed and backed by the United States. The Sunnis, who are the minority in Iraq but ruled the Shiite when Saddam was in power by force, will not be allowed to have any infrastructure to challenge the Shiite.
In just 3 more months, the war will be in progress for 5 years. Almost 4000 Americans have been killed, over 20,000 wounded; we don't have any idea how many innocent Iraq men, women and children have been killed and Mr. Bush still can not articulate when the war will end or how. What we do know is that it was a war over WMD that did not exist. Bush's reckless behavior to remake the Middle East in his vision has destabilized the entire region and when all the killing stops, Iran and Iraq will be two sister states. Iraq will look nothing like Bush saw in his dream. But lucky for Bush, he won't have to deal with the mess he created much longer. Unfortunately, the next President will bear the burden of his reckless behavior.
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