I doubt it very much and the voters surely tell a different story. However, journalists and pundits have been talking about it for over two weeks and treat it as gospel.
As of 4/17/08, Real Clear Politics reports that the popular vote in the Democratic primaries (including Florida and Michigan) as follows: Senator Obama 13,932,423 million or 47.6%; Senator Clinton 13,837,418 million or 47.2%, a difference of only 94,005 votes or four-tenths of 1%. Those voters do not agree with Senator Clinton's negative poll numbers. They also don't show up in national polls vs. Obama or McCain.
Journalists and pundits have shown those negative numbers and then indicate to their audiences that Clinton can't win with those kinds of numbers. The voters have proven other wise. Senator Clinton has won New York, California, New Jersey, Arizona, New Mexico, Nevada, Ohio, Texas, Florida, and Michigan. All of those states have a very diverse population. That speaks well to her candidacy. Today, it is time for Pennsylvania to vote and we will see how that turns out in just a few hours. To those who think the votes of the people in Michigan and Florida should not count, you should remember those elections were legal and set up by each state with each and every candidate having the option to put their name on the ballot. The DNC said they would not seat those states delegates at the convention and they have a right to do that, but they do not have the right to not count the popular vote of the people in a legal election held under state law.
Polling has misled the people on so many issues that it has become a tool unbecoming of a democracy. Questions people are asked are not in tune with what is taking place in America and/or what the candidates really stand for or what they would do if elected President. All polls are designed to do is influence people's vote and to create news that is not really there. Voters can do themselves and their country a great favor by not letting anything in the polls influence their vote. They should also remember that people in the news media always try to influence one's vote with their biased, one-sided coverage. That is why they come on air after the debates and try and tell you what you just heard in the debates. And worst of all, they use people in the post debates that have no creditability to start off with. In short, think independently and let election day results, not polls, show you the true feelings of the public.