Showing posts with label polls. Show all posts
Showing posts with label polls. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Is Senator Clinton's Negative Rating Really 63% As The Polls Say?

I doubt it very much and the voters surely tell a different story.  However,  journalists and pundits have been talking about it for over two weeks and treat it as gospel.
 
As of 4/17/08, Real Clear Politics reports that the popular vote in the Democratic primaries (including Florida and Michigan) as follows:  Senator Obama 13,932,423 million or 47.6%;  Senator Clinton 13,837,418 million or 47.2%, a difference of only 94,005 votes or four-tenths of 1%.  Those voters do not agree with Senator Clinton's negative poll numbers.  They also don't show up in national polls vs. Obama or McCain.
 
Journalists and pundits have shown those negative numbers and then indicate to their audiences that Clinton can't win with those kinds of numbers.  The voters have proven other wise.  Senator Clinton has won New York, California, New Jersey, Arizona, New Mexico, Nevada, Ohio, Texas, Florida, and Michigan.  All of those states have a very diverse population.  That speaks well to her candidacy. Today, it is time for Pennsylvania to vote and we will see how that turns out in just a few hours.  To those who think the votes of the people in Michigan and Florida should not count, you should remember those elections were legal and set up by each state with each and every candidate having the option to put their name on the ballot.  The DNC said they would not seat those states delegates at the convention and they have a right to do that, but they do not have the right to not count the popular vote of the people in a legal election held under state law.
 
Polling has misled the people on so many issues that it has become a tool unbecoming of a democracy.  Questions people are asked are not in tune with what is taking place in America and/or what the candidates really stand for or what they would do if elected President.  All polls are designed to do is influence people's vote and to create news that is not really there.  Voters can do themselves and their country a great favor by not letting anything in the polls influence their vote.  They should also remember that people in the news media always try to influence one's vote with their biased, one-sided coverage.  That is why they come on air after the debates and try and tell you what you just heard in the debates. And worst of all, they use people in the post debates that have no creditability to start off with.  In short, think independently and let election day results, not polls, show you the true feelings of the public.  

Wednesday, August 8, 2007

Clinton: the inevitable president?

Hillary Clinton is running the perfect campaign. She has been flawless in the debates and is doing better and better in the polls. Her negatives are dropping and her positives are rising. She is now 22 points ahead of Sen. Obama and is only 2 points away from having 50% of democratic support. Mark the my words, if that happens, its over for the other candidates. Just getting over 50% would give a huge boost to her campaign. The money will pour in, as will some major endorsements. Her weak spot? Well if she has one problem it is Iowa and New Hampshire. She is not doing bad there, she is in a virtual three way tie with Obama and Edwards, but she needs to do well. If Obama can beat her there, he may be able to win the nomination, but if Clinton wins, it will be like a train going 150 mph, no one will be able to stop her. And I have titled this blog the eventual president, not the eventual nominee for one reason. I have a hard time believing that a republican will win in 2008. Clinton is in such a good position for a general election run. She is not far-left like Edwards or Obama, she is the moderate democrat. Possibly the most encouraging news for the Clinton campaign is that she is polling even, thats right, equal to both McCain and Guiliani in Texas, yes, Texas of all places. If she can appeal to the independents and anti-war republicans in Texas, she can win swing states like Florida & Ohio. Like her or not, when you watch her at the debates, or see her statements on her website, or hear an interview she has given, you just can't help but say, "damn", this girl is running the absolute perfect campaign.