Yup, Guiliani's at it again

Well it had seemed as if Mayor Rudy Guiliani stopped using 9/11 to justify everything, but now he's back at it. When asked about why he took a call from his wife while in the middle of giving a speech to the NRA, Guiliani had this to say:

"Quite honestly, since Sept. 11, most of the time when we get on a plane, we talk to each other and just reaffirm the fact that we love each other. Sometimes if I'm in the middle of a very, very sensitive meeting, I don't take the call right then. I wait. But I thought it would be kind of nice if I took it at that point."

Wow, not only is it rude to take a phone call during a speech (this was the 3rd time he did it), but its even more rude use 9/11 to justify it. Everything this guy does some way or another comes back to 9/11. I ask Republicans, when are you going to tell this guy enough? Why are you still allowing him to get away with exploiting 9/11?

Lighting the Match to War in the Middle East (a special editorial by John Lucia)

President Bust speaks often about the proliferation of weapons in the world and condemns other nations who engage in such acts. We now know his talk does not match his actions. On September 11, before the Senate Armed Service Committee, General Petraeus announced the United States could sell up to over $3 billion of arms to Iraq, the country once described as an ammo dump. This sale announcement comes only after a few weeks when the President said the U.S. will be selling billions of dollars in arms to Israel and Saudi Arabia. The Middle East is already a powder keg, now Mr. Bush wants to light the match. Is it any wonder the U.S. has lost its creditability under this President?

Bush ordered the invasion and occupation of Iraq over WMD that did not exist. Now he wants to make up for that and arm them. Lets not forget, it was the U.S. under previous republican administration who sold arms to Iraq and gave them intelligence during their war with Iran. A war that was started by Iraq. It was a time when Iraq used chemical weapons on Iran and our government knew about it. So is it really surprising Iran and other countries look to the Soviet Union and others to build up their own arsenals?

The reckless actions of Mr. Bush to arm the Middle East has to be reversed by congress. We have a president gone mad. Congress can't let him destroy what America stands for. Mr. Bush has already tried to play God in Iraq and failed. Unfortunately innocent Iraqis and our men and women in uniform have paid the ultimate price for his mistake. Now he is trying to play God again. Every member of congress has to step up and say no loud and clear.

This is it....the final quarter---my early predictions for the nominees

I think it just hit me today, this is the last day of the 3rd quarter for 2007. That means that we are essentially a little over 3 months away from the Iowa Caucus...and then New Hampshire....and South Carolina....and so on. This is the time when people really start paying attention and when candidates really get serious. Now, unlike the summer, there is absolutely no room for mistakes or slip-ups. With only a few more months to go, let me give you my predictions for what will happen in the January caucuses and primaries and the rest of the nomination process.

I'll start with the Democrats. Iowa will be the true battle-ground state, as Clinton, Edwards, and Obama are virtually tied in polls and have been for quite some time. If Clinton can win here, it's all over. She has a 20 point lead in New Hampshire and its growing. She is also polling ahead in South Carolina and Florida. Even if Edwards was to win Iowa, I don't believe he could get the nomination. He wouldn't have enough money to compete with Hillary in New Hampshire and the other states. On the other hand, if Obama wins Iowa, Hillary would face some serious problems. He is the only candidate who could match her money-wise and he could essentially use the momentum from Iowa to catapult himself through New Hampshire and so on. So my recommendation for Hillary is to do everything humanly possible to win Iowa, or at least make sure Obama doesn't win. An Obama win wouldn't necessarily end her chances, but he would make her fight for the nomination, and I'm sure thats something the Hillary campaign wouldn't like. So my prediction for the democratic nomination right now is Hillary, but as Obama continues to gain in Iowa, he might be able to make me change my prediction.

Now onto the Republican candidates. First of all I will start by saying that the Fred Thompson excitement is gone. I will guarantee that Fred will not be the nominee. I'll also confidently say that I don't think John McCain will be the nominee either. It boils down to Mitt Romney and Rudy Guiliani. Romney looks like a sure thing when it comes to winning the Iowa caucus. He is polling ahead in New Hampshire, but his lead there has shrunk dramatically and Rudy is gaining. If Romney can win both Iowa and New Hampshire then I see him being the nominee. However, if Rudy can win New Hampshire, or at least keep Romney from winning, then the race is wide open. Guiliani is stronger than Romney in South Carolina and Florida. They only way Romney could win those states would be to use the momentum from two huge wins in Iowa and New Hampshire, much like John Kerry in '04. So for my pick for the GOP, I'm going to go with Guiliani, but don't, by any means, count Romney out of this race. He could still very much win the GOP nomination.

And for my prediction for the general----I see a Democrat winning and I think Hillary has the best chance of any Democrat to do so. If Romney is the GOP nominee I see him being easily defeated in a general election. Guiliani would be a much stronger candidate and could potentially lead to a GOP upset in '08, although I am very skeptical it will happen.

Ron Paul---He chooses to be an American Above All ( a special editorial by John Lucia)

Representative Ron Paul, a Republican Candidate for President has been described as a Conservative, a Constitutionalist, and a Libertarian but most importantly he is an American first, which is the way it should be. His republican opponents are just the opposite. Mr. Paul continues to be the voice of reason on Iraq for the republican party and his position and comments on Iraq receive more applause from the audience than the other candidates.

Mr. Paul understands this war was a war of choice over WMD that did not exist and was not a necessary war that affected our national security. His opponents have no answers to his position on the war except the same worn out status quo and are unable to articulate how a war over WMD that did not exist turn into a civil war with our troops in the middle. They have also hinted the war may last 10 years.

Now Mr. Paul's opponents are openly talking about attacking Iran and starting a war there. He rightly points out that Iran has not attacked or occupied any other country and a U.S. attack would be at odds with our stated principals as a nation and would also constitute illegal action by our country. Can anyone remember a time in our recent History where so many republicans try to talk tough and are so willing to commit our nation and men and women in uniform to war so casually?

I hope Mr. Paul keeps speaking his mind and that he stays an American first. Our constitution backs his position on war. The republican party needs a sound person like Mr. Paul who puts his country and its people first. Its no accident that Mr. Paul has won most of the republican debates as shown by the online and text-in votes of ordinary people.

The Latest 2008 General Election Poll

Fox News and Dynamics have just come out with a new poll concerning the 2008 general election for president. And conservatives might want to take note that their attacks on Hillary are not working. They are making her stronger. Take a look:

3 Way Race:

-Rudy Guiliani(R): 32%-----down 5% from 3 months ago
-Hillary Clinton(D): 42%----up 3% from 3 months ago
-Mike Bloomberg(I): 7%----same as 3 months ago

2 Way Races:

-Rudy Guiliani(R): 39%----down 6% from 3 months ago
-Hillary Clinton(D): 46%---up 4% from 3 months ago

-Fred Thompson(R): 35%--down 3% from 2 months ago
-Hillary Clinton(D): 48%---up 1% from 2 months ago

-John McCain(R): 39%----down 4% from 3 months ago
-Hillary Clinton(D): 46%---up 3% from 3 months ago

-Rudy Guiliani(R): 40%----down 1% from 2 months ago
-Barack Obama(D): 41%---down 4% from 2 months ago

-John McCain(R): 38%-----up 1% from 2 months ago
-Barack Obama(D): 40%---down 7% from 2 months ago

These polls show a clear distinction---in a general election, despite what some in the media say, Hillary is a much, much stronger candidate than Barack Obama. This has to be attributed to her experience and her foreign policy credentials. A lot of people will say poll numbers this early mean nothing, but I must say, they are dead wrong. More Americans are following this election closer than any previous election in history. Polls show as much as 40% of the country have already made a decision on who they're voting for. These polls show a clear trend---Hillary gains, Republicans fall while Obama falls and Republicans rise.

What Part of Our Past Will the Future Reflect? (a special editorial by John Lucia)

Recorded History tells us our future is shaped by our past. In 14 months the people will elect a new President to lead us into that future. Do we want to maintain the arrogant status quo of the Bush administration and his reckless decisions and policies or will we the people cast our votes for a candidate who understands the challenges ahead and the mistakes of the past 8 years.

President Bush paid no attention to the success of our past leaders who guided our country with wisdom, character and moral authority. Instead, he misled the people over and over concerning the war in Iraq, the war on terror and our national security.

Do we want our next President to try to talk tough and keep our country in a perpetual war with the world or will we elect a President who will change course, change policies, work with our allies, and offer hope to our country and the world. The next President will have to balance our military commitments with our many domestic commitments. He will have to balance the federal budget and reverse the 8 years of record federal budget deficits that Bush will have accumulated when he leaves office.

Our new leader will have to be about our future and making progress that really advances our country and its people. He will have to restore value in our foreign policies and return confidence in our governments business and restore the checks and balances that our founders fought for.

The voting public has a responsibility to cast their votes for the candidate whose policy will advance the lives of our children and grandchildren and adhere to those principals that made our country great. The voter will have to look beyond the show business of journalism, especially television journalists who do their best to influence the vote. Some of them flat-out lie.

Every voter can make up his or her own mind by giving each candidate a good honest look. Let the candidates positions determine our vote. Voters are mature enough to sift through all the charges and counter charges that will be presented; they don't need the media telling them who to vote for.

The 2008 election is about our future. Let the past define what the U.S. is about and guide our vote and future. Our generations who vote in 2008 will take charge of our future. Will it be a vote to learn from our past mistakes and return our country to the progressive ideals that our founding fathers revealed in our constitution? Like the past the future is in our hands, lets take advantage of it in November 2008.

9/26 Democratic Debate Analysis

Yesterday, the eight Democrats running for their party's nomination for President met in New Hampshire to debate. Some had a good night, others, not so good.

Senator Hillary Clinton entered the front-runner and left the front-runner, and when you're running this far ahead in polls, thats a good place for Hillary to be. She was pressed hard on many issues, and quite frankly, I'm surprised at how well she handled them. Edwards grilled her on several issues, including her vote on the Iraq War and her healthcare plan. Gravel said that he was disgraced at her vote earlier in the day on Iran. Notably absent from the seeming slaughter of Clinton was the man who needed to do it the most, Barack Obama (but more on him in a little bit). The best moment of the night for Hillary came when moderator Tim Russert asked her whether or not she would condone torture, and Hillary forcefully said absolutely not. Russert then brought up the fact that Bill Clinton, Hillary's husband, had once said that he would support it. Hillary responded with, "Well he's not standing up here right now is he?" With that one line, Hillary did what she needed to do this entire campaign: make the point that her last name might be Clinton, but her first name is not Bill. She is not Bill Clinton, she is Hillary Clinton.

Barack Obama could have ruined months of hard work he and his campaign put in to New Hampshire. His performance was absolutely horrendous. His campaign claim that Obama was ill, but that is no excuse. The charisma that we have all grown to love from Obama was completely absent. He was cloudy with most of his answers while at other times he literally just re-worded the answers from other candidates. His failure to go after Hillary will cost him. If anyone can stop her, it's him, and he must do it soon. In fact, in might be too late. Last night was Obama's chance to make an impact and begin to break Hillary's campaign down. But I'm afraid for Obama that he may have done the opposite. He may have lost himself supporters, and those supporters might just jump to the Hillary, or even Edwards, campaign.

John Edwards was on fire last night. Other than Hillary, he was the winner. He came off strong and forceful, yet kept his southern charm. I won't be surprised if Edwards gets a little boost in the poll numbers, especially in New Hampshire, from his performance. Unlike Obama, he made his differences clear from the other candidates, and gave Americans his plan for the country.

Biden, Dodd, Richardson, Kucinich, and Gravel were all okay. None of them made any huge mistakes, but they, yet again, fail to ignite a flame under their campaign. That, with their lack of money, will keep them from winning the primaries. A few might even want to consider dropping out.

The Right Wing Conservatives in the Media (a special editorial by John Lucia)

You know them by name and the lack of substance in their talk on T.V. and Radio. They continue to bash Democrats while the Republicans are running the country. They do that because they can't articulate what they themselves, and other so called conservative republicans, stand for.

They always speak on issues that divide the country instead of those that unite us. They like to talk about the U.S. going to war to prove to the world the U.S. is the leading military power in the world and therefore can do whatever we want to do. They have a lot of influence, not because they are right but because they only tell half the story and mislead people.

They try to cloak themselves with moral and family values and patriotism to hide their own character problems. They feel so inadequate they lash out at Veterans in an effort to hide their own guilt feelings. They believe in Ronald Reagan's commandment of never speak ill of another republican even if they do something that puts our country at risk. They flash names of elected officials on the T.V. screen knowingly with the wrong party affiliation to try and deceive their viewers. Some of them screen their calls because they can't handle the truth. They share the same ideology as the neocon politicians.

They act like cry babies when they invite Bill Maher and President Clinton on their shows and Maher and Clinton get the best of them. They end up shouting at people on their shows when they can't get their way. That is the mark of an insecure person. They try to give the impression they support our troops but are now beating the drums of war concerning Iran.

They represent the worse in free speech on the air because they lack the character necessary to compete with the facts and truth in an open society. You know who they are. Many of them work or appear on the Fox News Channel and on radio, on the EIB network and on CNN's Headline News talk shows. But there is one thing you will never hear them talk about. What did they do for their country during their generation's war. That says it all.

Quick Debate Analysis

I will be back tomorrow with a full analysis, but right now, just 5 minutes after the debate, let me give you my initial reaction.

Hillary Clinton: Came of charming and presidential. She didn't lose and she wasn't upstaged, that makes her the winner.

Barack Obama: His worse performance yet. He was sloppy and unusually un-charismatic.

John Edwards: the runner-up tonight. He was forceful and set himself up as the alternative to Clinton.

Joe Biden, Chris Dodd: not bad, not great, just okay.

Bill Richardson: again, this guy can not debate. He only talks about his past accomplishments instead of what he will do in the future.

Dennis Kucinich: He's getting better at debates, but it wasn't anything that can help his terribly low poll numbers.

Mike Gravel: As strange as this guy must be, I actually thought he did a good job getting his point across tonight, regardless of how weird his points are.

Hillary does the Sunday Circuit

Democratic Presidential front-runner and New York Senator, Hillary Clinton, made an appearance on all five of the Sunday Morning talk shows yesterday: Fox News Sunday, Face the Nation, Late Edition, This Week, and Meet the Press. While there was no new major news coming from Sen. Clinton, she looked presidential and most importantly answered the questions, instead of the dodging we often see from politicians.

Perhaps one of the best moments came in her interview with Fox. Chris Wallace asked her why she is so partisan. At this moment, Hillary busted out in laughter. It was the perfect moment and a "who the hell are you to call me partisan?" moment.

When she was asked whether her healthcare plan would cover illegal immigrants, she rightfully said no. Her plan is for Americans.

When asked whether the MoveOn.org ad criticizing Gen. Petraeus was right Clinton responded saying, "Absolutely not." She stressed that in no way does she condone or support attacking the patriotism of men and women who serve in the military. It was a perfect moment to show her dedication to the country. She also brought up how it is partially hypocritical for Republicans to jump on MoveOn.org when they too have attacked the patriotism of military men, most recently Sen. John Kerry. Sen. Clinton made it clear that Congress, the President, and the American people should not have their attention focused on MoveOn, as no lives are lost in words, but thousands have been lost in this War. The Republicans have used the ad to stop talking about the Iraq War, and thats not right.

Overall Sen. Clinton looked like a commander-in-chief being interviewed. It is not hard to see why she is doing so well in the polls. She comes off more and more friendly and warm every time she's on TV. She has learned how to stay calm under pressure and as I said earlier, she's learned that she needs to be straight forward with her audience. All she has to do is continue what she's doing and she will win the nomination, and likely, the presidency.